Week 13 Underdog Battle Royale Foremost Slate
Versus different DFS websites that base lineups round a wage cap, Underdog makes use of drafts for bigger entry fields and every particular person is split right into a six-person draft. When the draft concludes your workforce is submitted right into a 56,662-person discipline. That is totally different than different DFS websites as you’re on the mercy of different drafters. Who you might have in your workforce can be based mostly on who different fantasy managers draft, which is why I like to recommend submitting a number of entries to get that optimum lineup.
Lineup: 1 QB, 1 RB, 2 WR, 1 TE, 1 Flex
Projected Discipline: 51, 048 Entrants
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Week 13 Underdog Battle Royale Quarterback Evaluation
Each week I harp on the significance of choosing the correct Quarterback within the Battle Royale. Each single Underdog Battle Royale winner besides one has had a high three Quarterback from that week of their lineup. That one workforce that didn’t had a high 5 efficiency from Josh Allen again in Week 4.
It’s important to hit on the place so we’re solely on the lookout for Quarterbacks which have a high three fantasy end inside their vary of outcomes. Due to this fact, we will remove a lot of the Quarterbacks taking part in this Sunday straight away. Listed here are my Quarterback rankings in tiers to indicate you ways a lot you ought to be exposing your self to every participant.
Patrick Mahomes – QB – Kansas Metropolis Chiefs
ADP: 6.3 Stacking Choices: Juju-Smith Schuster
Mahomes is the MVP favourite and is taking part in in what many count on to be the sport of the week. The Bengals rank third in opposition to Quarterbacks when it comes to fantasy factors given as much as the place however that shouldn’t matter. Mahomes is matchup proof and has completed as a high six Quarterback play all however two weeks this season.
Jalen Hurts – QB – Philadelphia Eagles
ADP: 11.3 Stacking Choices: AJ Brown, Devonta Smith
Whereas Hurts’ passing has left one thing to be desired lately, it’s his speeding that makes him an elite fantasy choice. He’s quantity three in rush yards per sport amongst Quarterbacks and is first in speeding touchdowns. He’s additionally in a implausible matchup with the Titans this weekend that rank twenty sixth in fantasy factors given as much as Quarterbacks.
Joe Burrow – QB – Cincinnati Bengals
ADP: 23.7 Stacking Choices: Ja’Marr Chase, Tee Higgins, Tyler Boyd, Hayden Hurst
After ending within the backside ten in cross performs per sport in 2021, the Bengals are all the way in which up seventh within the NFL this season. Joe Burrow has been on hearth lately as effectively ending as the general QB1 for 3 of the final six weeks. Don’t suppose too laborious about this one as he’s additionally going through a Kansas Metropolis Chiefs workforce that’s been poor in opposition to the cross this yr. Count on a shootout and he’s a steal at his present ADP.
Justin Herbert – QB – Los Angeles Chargers
ADP: 30.7 Stacking Choices: Keenan Allen, Austin Ekeler
After a tricky midseason stretch with out his high weapons Keenan Allen and Mike Williams, Herbert is coming alive of late. He’s completed QB9 and QB3 the final two weeks and is in a implausible matchup this week in opposition to the Raiders. One thing to remember is that the Week 12 Battle Royale winner stacked Justin Herbert with Austin Ekeler. One of many few viable Quarterback and Operating Again stacking choices.
Lamar Jackson – QB – Baltimore Ravens
ADP: 26.6 Stacking Choices: Mark Andrews
Jackson was on the Battle Royale profitable roster in back-to-back video games in Weeks 2 and three however hasn’t been on any since. In that point, he truly hasn’t completed as a high 7 Quarterback in fantasy soccer. Nonetheless, Jackson continues to be one of the best dual-threat Quarterback within the NFL and has big upside this late in Underdog drafts. He solely has 8 touchdowns in his final 8 video games as effectively so I’m prepared to take the prospect that adjustments in opposition to the Broncos this week.
Tua Tagovailoa – QB – Miami Dolphins
ADP: 31.5 Stacking Choices: Tyreek Hill, Jaylen Waddle
Tagovailoa is one other participant who’s been on hearth as of late. Previous to a bye and quiet efficiency in opposition to the Texans, he had three straight high 5 fantasy soccer performances. He’s going at a reduction this week due to a tricky matchup in opposition to the 49er protection. I perceive that however all of the draw back is baked into the worth. Tagovailoa has been excellent this season and Patrick Mahomes has proven this protection could be crushed. He’s not even getting taken in lots of drafts proper now so he’s actually value a flier because it gained’t take a lot for Hill or Waddle to interrupt an enormous play.
Trevor Lawrence – QB – Jacksonville Jaguars
ADP: 35.2 Stacking Choices: Christian Kirk, Zay Jones
Don’t look now however Trevor Lawrence can also be starting to play very effectively. He’s completed 4 of his previous six video games as a high 8 fantasy Quarterback after a tricky midseason stretch. Though fumbling continues to be a difficulty, he’s gone 5 of his final six video games with out an interception too. Moreover, he’s going up in opposition to Detroit who’s lifeless final in fantasy factors given as much as the Quarterback place. He’s a good way to get just a little bit extra distinctive this week within the Week 13 Underdog Battle Royale.
Justin Fields – QB – Chicago Bears
ADP: 35,2 Stacking Choices: Chase Claypool, Cole Kmet
Fields goes undrafted in most drafts as a result of his standing is up within the air attributable to a shoulder damage. Clearly, if he performs, he’s a steal at this ADP. Darnell Mooney is now out for the rest of the season however Discipline’s passing wasn’t what made him worthwhile in fantasy soccer. His speeding upside is large, and as an individual who does many drafts, I used to be certain to seize a few shares of Fields at a reduction early within the week.
Derek Carr – QB – Las Vegas Raiders
ADP: 35.9 Stacking Choices: Davante Adams
That is one other don’t look now participant. After scuffling with the brand new scheme for a lot of the season, Carr has come into his personal within the final 4 weeks. He has three high 12 fantasy finishes in that span and is going through the Chargers in what must be a divisional shootout. The Charger’s protection has struggled with accidents are twentieth in fantasy factors given as much as the Quarterback place.
Week 13 Underdog Battle Royale Tight Finish Evaluation
Tight Finish can also be extra essential within the Battle Royale format than different DFS platforms. Because of the lineups solely consisting of six gamers, Tight Finish makes up so much increased proportion of the scoring. Solely three Battle Royale winners up to now this season have had a Tight Finish that completed outdoors the highest three scorers on the place. Of these three, just one had a Tight Finish that completed outdoors the highest six.
Identical to Quarterback, we’re on the lookout for Tight Ends with a high three end of their vary of outcomes, The heavy hitters are the plain picks, however there have been quite a few events the place folks have had success with sleeper Tight Ends within the Underdog Battle Royale. Travis Kelce, the primary Tight Finish this season by far, has solely been on two Battle Royale profitable rosters this season.
Travis Kelce – TE – Kansas Metropolis Chiefs
ADP: 1.3 Pairings: Joe Burrow, Ja’Marr Chase, Tee Higgins
There isn’t a lot to say right here. Despite the fact that Kelce has solely been on two Battle Royale profitable rosters I’m nonetheless prepared to take him first general in drafts. It’s so much simpler to search out worth at different positions so get your publicity to Kelce while you get the primary choose.
Mark Andrews – TE – Baltimore Ravens
ADP: 13.0 Pairings: Lamar Jackson, Courtland Sutton
Andrews began off the season with at the very least 10 targets in 5 of the primary six video games he performed. Since he hasn’t had one double digit goal sport. His lower in targets has coincided with Jackson’s struggles as a passer this season. This week in opposition to the Denver Broncos won’t be the week to guess issues get proper, so I gained’t let my publicity get too excessive on Andrews this week. Nonetheless, no Tight Finish besides Kelce is likelier of getting a 100 yard efficiency which makes him good for bigger tournaments.
George Kittle – TE – San Francisco 49ers
ADP: 23.2 Pairings: Tua Tagovailoa, Tyreek Hill, Jaylen Waddle
George Kittle is the proper DFS massive event Tight Finish. In 4 of his final six video games, he has completed as a high 6 Tight Finish and in these different two he completed outdoors the highest 25 on the place. These bust video games preserve his value down, and identical to Andrews, he’s very able to having a breakout sport. It’s unimaginable to inform whose week it’s going to be in San Francisco however Kittle is a cut price on the third-fourth spherical flip.
TJ Hockenson – TE – Minnesota Vikings
ADP: 28.2 Pairings: Garrett Wilson
Pat Freiermuth – TE – Pittsburg Steelers
ADP: 32.7 Pairings: None
David Njoku – TE – Cleveland Browns
ADP: 33.2 Pairings: Deshaun Watson
Hayden Hurst – TE – Cincinnati Bengals
ADP: 35.4 Pairings: Joe Burrow, Patrick Mahomes
Gerald Everett – TE – Los Angeles Chargers
ADP: 35.3 Pairings: Justin Herbert, Derek Carr, Davante Adams, Josh Jacobs
Week 13 Underdog Battle Royale Operating Again Values
This week I made a decision to do some extra analysis on the roster development of Battle Royale winners and have discovered some fascinating takeaways. Each single Battle Royale winner has had a high 5 scoring Operating Again from that week of their lineup. Moreover, 63.6% of winners had two high 5 Operating Backs of their lineup. Seeing a pattern right here? We’re solely on the lookout for gamers with extraordinarily excessive ceilings in our Battle Royale drafts.
Another fascinating tidbits I’ve discovered is that 72.7% of Battle Royale winners have had two Operating Backs of their lineup versus three Large Receivers. In consequence, I’ll be aiming for Two Operating Backs in most of my drafts because it’s essential to reap the benefits of traits. Versus rating the highest Operating Backs that each one have excessive ceilings, I made a decision to focus on some Operating Backs later in drafts who may very well be high 5 finishers.
Aaron Jones – RB – Inexperienced Bay Packers
ADP: 26.1 Pairings: Justin Fields
After an up and down season Jones has completed as a high 12 Operating Again in three of his final 5 video games. The offense as a complete has drug him down however he has that upside we’re on the lookout for on the place. He has two high 5 Operating Again completed on the yr as effectively and the Bears rank twenty seventh in fantasy factors given as much as the place.
Joe Mixon – RB – Cincinnati Bengals
ADP: 30.9 Pairings: Patrick Mahomes, Travis Kelce, Juju Smith-Schuster
Mixon may very well be the steal of the week on the finish of drafts as there can be loads of scoring alternatives in opposition to Kansas Metropolis. He missed their final sport attributable to a concussion and hasn’t been totally cleared for this sport. That is retaining his ADP down however you’ll need some low-cost publicity in a matchup the place the purpose whole may very well be 60+.
Dalvin Cook dinner – RB – Minnesota Vikings
ADP: 32.9 Pairings: Garrett Wilson
Whereas the matchup will not be nice, Cook dinner is one other participant on the again finish of drafts who may end as a high 5 general Operating Again. The accidents could also be piling up in addition to Cook dinner has had some down weeks lately and is not a locked-in high 10 play. Cook dinner continues to be getting an elite workload although with 22 carries final week and 5 targets in 4 of his final 5 video games. Let recency bias play to our benefit and get Cook dinner at a reduction.
Travis Etienne – RB – Jacksonville Jaguars
ADP: 27.6 Pairings: Amon-Ra St. Brown
Since taking on the full-time function after the departure of James Robinson, Etienne has been an enormous play ready to occur. He ranks fifth in yards per contact and seventh in breakaway run charge (PlayerProfiler). As we’ve mentioned, recency bias is most actually a factor. Fantasy managers have already forgotten about that string of three straight RB1 performances and he may have an enormous day in opposition to a poor Lions protection.
Week 13 Underdog Battle Royale Large Receiver Values
I additionally did some analysis on the traits of Large Receivers and the way they affect the Battle Royale. The findings yielded related outcomes as the opposite positions. Among the many Battle Royale winners, 92.4% had a high 5 Large Receiver from that week, and 72.7% had two high 5 Large Receivers. Moreover, for the entire yr, solely two groups have rostered a Large Receiver that completed outdoors the highest 12 on the place. Flooring performs, or simply stable manufacturing, aren’t going to win you any cash within the Battle Royale. Be aggressive and goal gamers with a variety of outcomes.
Keenan Allen – WR – Los Angeles Chargers
ADP: 26.9 Pairings: Justin Herbert, Davante Adams, Josh Jacobs
Allen is the plain stacking choice with Justin Herbert in a very good matchup with Mike Williams being out. He’s obtained 15 targets in whole within the final two weeks since coming back from a hamstring damage. and that was with him being labored again slowly the primary week. Count on him to get a full complement of snaps in opposition to the Raiders and he actually has high 5 Large Receiver upside on the again finish of drafts.
Christian Kirk – WR – Jacksonville Jaguars
ADP: 29.7 Pairings: Trevor Lawrence, Amon-Ra St. Brown
Kirk is one other Jaguars participant who had a quiet efficiency final week however has been taking part in very effectively lately. Previous to the Jaguars’ Week 11 bye week, Kirk had strung collectively two high 5 Large Receiver finishes in a row. He’s been the clear high choice for an bettering Trevor Lawrence and he goes up in opposition to the Lions this week who rank thirtieth in fantasy factors given as much as the Large Receiver place.
Juju Smith-Schuster – WR – Kansas Metropolis Chiefs
ADP: 34.4 Pairings: Patrick Mahomes, Joe Burrow, Ja’Marr Chase, Tee Higgins
I’ve been chasing Smith-Schuster this week as the one viable stacking choice with Patrick Mahomes. Travis Kelce goes as the primary general choose in most drafts and the remainder of the Chiefs’ cross catchers aren’t startable in such small lineups. After lacking a sport attributable to damage and being restricted final week, he practiced in full on Thursday and must be good to go for Sunday. This can be a participant that amassed 325 yards and a pair of touchdowns in his three video games previous to the damage.
DK Metcalf – WR – Seattle Seahawks
ADP: 34.4 Pairings: Geno Smith (not really useful)
Metcalf has been pretty constant this season however has only one high 12 Large Receiver end all season. I believe that would change this week in opposition to the Rams that can be with out Aaron Donald. They had been already struggling and this must be the ultimate nail within the coffin of a disappointing season. Metcalf can also be averaging 10 targets over his final 4 video games in comparison with simply 6.25 for Tyler Lockett.
Week 13 Underdog Battle Royale Video games to Goal
I like to finish every week by discussing among the video games to focus on within the Week 13 fundamental slate of video games. Ideas corresponding to “stacking” or “convey backs” are much less important within the Battle Royale in comparison with different DFS websites due to the smaller lineups. Nonetheless, they’re nonetheless extraordinarily essential, and correlating nonetheless offers you one of the best likelihood to win. 72.7% of Battle Royale winners had a single stack (a Quarterback with considered one of their receiving weapons) of their lineup.
Moreover, 54.5% had a convey again of their lineup (two totally different gamers from opposing groups that week). Let the start of the draft and the gamers you are taking affect which video games you’re going to focus on. Getting 2-3 items from the identical sport offers you a chance to reap the benefits of these high-scoring outcomes.
Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Detroit Lions
Quarterback Performs: Trevor Lawrence
Operating Again Performs: Travis Etienne, Jamaal Williams
Large Receiver Performs: Amon-Ra St. Brown, Christian Kirk, Zay Jones
Tight Finish Performs: None
Kansas Metropolis Chiefs vs. Cincinnati Bengals
Quarterback Performs: Patrick Mahomes, Joe Burrow
Operating Again Performs: Joe Mixon
Large Receiver Performs: Juju Smith-Schuster, Ja’Marr Chase, Tee Higgins, Tyler Boyd
Tight Finish Performs: Travis Kelce, Hayden Hurst
Los Angeles Chargers vs. Las Vegas Raiders
Quarterback Performs: Justin Herbert, Derek Carr
Operating Again Performs: Austin Ekeler, Josh Jacobs
Large Receiver Performs: Davante Adams, Keenan Allen, Joshua Palmer
Tight Finish Performs: Gerald Everett
Miami Dolphins vs. San Francisco 49ers
Quarterback Performs: Tua Tagovailoa
Operating Again Performs: Christian McCaffrey
Large Receiver Performs: Tyreek Hill, Jaylen Waddle, Deebo Samuel, Brandon Aiyuk
Tight Finish Performs: George Kittle
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